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Magical Tome

Placeholder cover for Are technology improvements contractionary?
First published
2004
Publisher
National Bureau of Economic Research
Pages
56 pages

Are technology improvements contractionary?

The outer archives are busy

by Susanto Basu

About this book

"Yes. We construct a measure of aggregate technology change, controlling for varying utilization of capital and labor, non-constant returns and imperfect competition, and aggregation effects. On impact, when technology improves, input use and non-residential investment fall sharply. Output changes little. With a lag of several years, inputs and investment return to normal and output rises strongly. We discuss what models could be consistent with this evidence. For example, standard onesector real- business-cycle models are not, since they generally predict that technology improvements are expansionary, with inputs and (especially) output rising immediately. However, the evidence is consistent with simple sticky-price models, which predict the results we find: When technology improves, input use and investment demand generally fall in the short run, and output itself may also fall"--Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago web site.

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